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After a decent 36th place and profits in the £12 game at last week’s John Deere Classic, it’s all systems go for a huge fortnight.
First, the Genesis Scottish Open and then the big one: the Open Championship at Royal Portrush.
Denny McCarthy (captain) and Dylan Wu (UD = underdog) scored well for me last week, always key given that those two positions on the six-man line-up score x1.25pts.
With the top five in the world taking part at the par 70 Renaissance Club in North Berwick this week, captaincy candidates are plentiful. Is Scottie Scheffler worth the big money?
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Okay, let’s start building…
Top Tier Picks (18m and over)
Rory McIlroy (22.8M): I’m saying no to Scheffler at a hefty 26M but yes to Rory at 3.2M cheaper. McIlroy produced a stunning birdie-birdie finish to win this event by a shot two years ago (he beat third-placed Scheffler by five) and posted fourth when defending last time when Scheffler didn’t play. As for Rory’s post-Masters funk, his strong final round at the US Open (a 67 for 19th) and sixth at the Travelers the following week suggest his head is back on again. He’ll want to give himself a big as boost as possible before the upcoming Open Championship on his home turf at Royal Portrush.
Collin Morikawa (19.2M): Morikawa may not be the first name to jump off the page in this price category but he could be a sneaky pick. As a former Open champion who came fourth in this event last year, he clearly has some excellent links pedigree although it’s worth noting that both those results were achieved in fairly benign conditions. And with a favourable weather forecast this week, he can thrive again. His long game is in great shape, he was eighth at the Rocket Classic last time and getting Billy Foster on the bag for this week and next adds another interesting dimension.
Others to consider: Tommy Fleetwood (19.8M) looks an extremely reliable option given course form which shows second, fourth and sixth. A runner-up at the Travelers last time, he always seems to play well in Scotland. Defending champion Robert MacIntyre (18.2M) has to be on the radar too. Also a runner-up the year before when Rory picked his pocket, the Scot enjoyed his best ever finish in a major when second at last month’s US Open. Justin Thomas (18.4M) owns a pair of top 10s at the Renaissance Club and took ninth at the Travelers the last time we saw him in action.
Mid-Range Value Selections ($14.2m up to 18m)
Matt Fitzpatrick (17.6M): The 2022 US Open winner is coming back to form with a pair of eighths at the PGA Championship and Rocket Classic the highlights in a strong six-tournament run in which his worst finish is 38th. Like Fleetwood, he excels in Scotland, Fitzpatrick’s CV showing a win and a second in the Alfred Dunhill Links Championship as well as second and sixth at this course.
Adam Scott (17.2M): Scott so nearly lifted the trophy here last year but had to settle for second after being overtaken by the fast-finishing MacIntyre. But the Aussie’s veteran smarts always stand him in good stead on the links and he once cracked the top 10 in four straight Open Championships. He was 10th in last year’s Open at Troon and made a big run at last month’s US Open before slipping from second to 12th on a tough Sunday.
Others to consider: Ryan Fox (17M) was a strong performer on the links in his DP World Tour days, the highlights a win (2022) and a second (2023) in the Alfred Dunhill Links Championship. Now he’s tearing it up on the PGA Tour with two recent wins. The Kiwi was 12th on this course in 2023. Thomas Detry (15.6M) has taken time to hit the heights again after his astonishing seven-shot win in Phoenix but he’s delivered top 25s in two of his last three starts, one of those in the US Open, and is a former runner-up here. He’s 6-for-6 at the Renaissance Club. Max Greyserman (15.6M) lost a playoff at the recent Rocket Classic and shot all four rounds in the 60s when 21st on his Scottish Open debut last year. He’s ultra-consistent too with just one finish outside the top 36 in his last 10 starts. Corey Conners (17.8M) comes with some risk as he withdrew from the US Open with a wrist injury. But if that’s okay, the Canadian likes this course having finished 10th and 19th in the last two editions.
Underdog Options (14m and Under)
Ewen Ferguson (13.8M): Bob MacIntyre isn’t the only Scot in town this week. Ewen Ferguson was 12th here in 2023 and can boast a second (Soudal Open) and a fourth (KLM Open) in his last four starts. He was also 22nd in last year’s Open at Troon so can perform well in big events on home soil.
Connor Syme (13.4M): And let’s throw another bargain-priced Scot into the mix. Syme won the KLM Open just two starts ago, his maiden win on the DP World Tour, and has made all five cuts at the Renaissance Club, including 15th last year when recording four rounds of 68 or better. In Tuesday’s press conference, he said: “I love this golf course.”
Others to consider: It’s churlish not to give Brian Campbell (13M) a mention given that the American now has two PGA Tour wins to his name this season after adding last week’s John Deere Classic trophy to the Mexico Open crown he won in February. We’re guessing how he performs on the links but surely his confidence will be sky high. Matt’s brother Alex Fitzpatrick (13M) has four top 20s in his last seven solo starts and some may recall him finishing 17th on his Open debut at Hoylake in 2023. Note that his MC here last year included a first-round 65 (75 on day two). Another Scot you say? How about Grant Forrest (13M). He’s made four of his last five cuts on the DP World Tour (two of those top 16s) and is 5-for-6 at this course with a best of 11th two years ago and 19th in 2020. A case can also be made for Padraig Harringon (13.2M). He’s a two-time Open champ while he comes here fresh off victory in the US Senior Open. The Irishman has only made three of six cuts at this course but has a ninth and an 18th too and it’s easy to see him plotting his way to another good finish.
That’s this week in the books. Good luck and don’t forget to SIGN UP HERE










