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Paying top dollar for Scottie Scheffler proved a smart decision last week as the World No.1 justified the 26.6M fee by winning the Memorial Tournament by four.
He was a popular choice as captain (scoring x1.25pts) but my other five picks weren’t good enough to get me in the money.
I’d been particularly keen on Bud Cauley as my UD (underdog, who scores x1.25pts) and rather built my team upwards from him.
It seemed a reasonable tactical ploy and one to perhaps try again.
The ‘shall I invest in the big-money favourite’ dilemma applies again this week in Canada with Rory McIlroy in town.
Rory is a two-time winner of the Canadian Open but this week we have a brand new course: TPC Toronto, a near 7,400-yard par 70.
It should suit ball-strikers so that’s an angle to play.
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Top Tier Picks (18m and over)
Rory McIlroy (24M): McIlroy has a bigger prize on the horizon with the US Open taking place at Oakmont next week. But having wowed the Canadian crowds by winning on his first two starts in the event in 2019 and 2022 (2020 and 2021 were cancelled due to the pandemic), he’ll want to put on a show. In two subsequent visits to the Canadian Open he’s posted ninth and fourth while Rory returns this year as the Masters champion. His form since that dramatic Augusta win? 12th in the Zurich Classic Pairs event, seventh in the Truist Championship and a subdued 47th in the PGA Championship. He’s a dilemma for me this week but I’ll find it hard to leave him out.
Taylor Pendrith (19M): A far cheaper high-end, or even captain, option is Pendrith. Last year’s CJ Cup Byron Nelson winner was fifth at the PGA Championship and backed it up with 12th at Memorial. Both were event PBs. Four rounds in the 60s and 21st in last year’s Canadian Open suggests he’s really ready to attack his national title and the ‘X’ factor is that he knows TPC Toronto virtually better than anyone in the field having played and practised there regularly.
Others to consider: Corey Conners (20.4M) is the other obvious home option and deserves such a status after a string of big finishes this year. He used to have a shocking time in his national Open but has gone 6-20-6 since 2022. Sam Burns (18.8M) continues to find a groove and 12th at Memorial represented a fourth top 20 in the last five starts. He likes this event too with fourth at St George’s on debut in 2022 and 10th at Hamilton last year. Ludvig Aberg (21.2M) has had peaks and troughs this season so is risky but a closing 66 for T16 at Memorial last week makes the Swede enticing. He made his pro debut in the 2023 Canadian Open, finishing 25th. Finally, Mackenzie Hughes (17.8M) has one of the best tournament records of the home players: two top 10s and only once outside the top 32 in the last six editions. He’s been mixing top 10s and missed cuts (three of each in the last seven events) but may well be worth chancing.
Mid-Range Value Selections ($14.2m up to 18m)
Nick Taylor (17.6M): Taylor ended the Canadian curse in 2023 when holing a monster putt to defeat Tommy Fleetwood in a playoff and become the first home player to win this event in 69 years. Victory in the Sony Open in early 2025 gave him a fifth PGA Tour title and that stacks up incredibly well against plenty of more celebrated rivals. Taylor is in the mood again after fourth place at Memorial on Sunday.
Ryan Fox (15.4M): Much further down this pay bracket, Fox could be a cunning pick. The New Zealander made the big breakthrough by winning the Myrtle Beach Classic and, impressively, has backed it up with 28th in the PGA and 20th at Memorial. A fine ball-striker, he was also seventh in last year’s Canadian Open so there are plenty of roads leading to him.
Others to consider: Gary Woodland (15.4M) is the same price as Fox and also boasts some strong credentials. The 2019 US Open winner ranks 8th for Driving Distance this year so will handle the lengthy par 4s on this course and has flashed some good form this season with second place in the Houston Open and 11th at Colonial last time. Rasmus Hojgaard (16M) has made his last six cuts, two of those in majors, and also finished runner-up alongside twin Nicolai in the Zurich Classic pairs event. A monster hitter he’ll enjoy being able to wield the driver here. Cameron Young (15M) won a playoff on Monday to qualify for next week’s US Open and is trending in the right direction again after a real loss of form. An elite driver at his best, he’s posted seventh at the Truist, 47th in the PGA and 25th at Memorial in his last three starts. Johnny Keefer (15.6M) seems a strange addition to this price range but it’s with justification as he finished third on this course at the PGA Tour Americas’ Fortinet Cup Championship last year. That qualified him for the Korn Ferry where he’s currently thriving with a win and a second in his last four starts.
Underdog Options (14m and Under)
Beau Hossler (14M): The American has been patchy since a bright start to 2025 but a top 20 in the PGA Championship at Quail Hollow was a confidence booster. He’d previously left this event off his schedule but the decision to make his debut last year paid off as a pair of closing 66s gave him 14th at Hamilton.
Kevin Roy (14M): We’re looking for reliability in this price range as getting all six players through the cut is just about a must to make any real profits. Roy fits the bill as he’s cashed in each of his last five starts, the best of those 15th in the CJ Cup Byron Nelson at Craig Ranch, a course with certain similarites to this one.
Others to consider: Alejandro Tosti (14M) is worth consideration if following the idea that big hitters will be to the fore. The Argentine is 8th for Driving Distance and has a second and a fifth to his name this season. Luke List (13.4M) is a bomber and also a two-time PGA Tour winner finding some form again with fourth at the Zurich Classic pairs and 36th at Colonial last time. Also in the long hitters club, Steven Fisk (14M) has made seven of his last 10 cuts and performed well in lower-key events like this. Gordon Sargent (13M) is making his first start as a PGA Tour member after coming through the University Accelerated program and deferring a year. He was the Low Amateur in the 2023 US Open and obviously has huge potential.
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After near misses in this ‘win only’ market, with Shane Lowry at 33/1 (Truist) and Bryson DeChambeau at 8/1 (PGA Championship) both finishing runner-up, I played it simple last week.
“In all honesty, a punt on 11/4 Scottie Scheffler is the simplest and smartest play for Memorial” was the call and it worked out as the World No.1 eased to a four-shot win.
Here, I’ll try local man Taylor Pendrith at 20/1.
That’s this week in the books. Don’t forget to SIGN UP HERE
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